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A |       北京8月11日电(记者     韩鹏飞)2026年作为“十五五”规划开局之年,北京市经济在上半年的表现极具风向标意义。

B | 依托创新驱动深耕、产业结构迭代、内外市场联动、民生城市共建的多元发力,北京经济实现稳健向好、向新突破,全市地区生产总值同比增长5.4%,增速跑赢全国平均水平、超额契合年度发展预期。    "Given that energy is the lifeline of modern economies, modern economic growth patterns, there are not that many alternatives available and there are only a few countries that are players in the global energy market. Russia certainly cannot be counted out and Russia cannot be marginalized in the global energy landscape," says Harsh V. Pant, professor of international relations at the King's College London India Institute and director of the strategic studies program at the Observer Research Foundation.,International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol and US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm on 12 July urged Indo-Pacific countries at the Sydney Energy Forum to diversify their supply chains for energy and critical minerals to reduce "dependency" on Russia over its special operation in Ukraine, as well as on China.,"At a time when the energy prices are going up and affecting some of the poorest and most vulnerable countries around the world very significantly, I think Asian countries will continue to cooperate with Russia in order to support their economies and their domestic requirements," says Pant.,He explains that dealing with Russia has become an economic imperative at a time of energy crunch given that Moscow is offering discounted oil to a number of countries. Furthermore, maintaining economic relations with Russia is a question of survival and the people's well-being for some Asian nations and countries of the Global South, according to the professor. Under these circumstances it's highly unlikely that they will succumb to the pressure from Washington and sever ties with Russia, he says.,"For political leaders across the world, at a time when economies are just beginning to grow after the long COVID pandemic, they can [not] afford a lack of energy and higher energy prices," Pant stresses.,Russia, Venezuela to Expand Oil Sector Cooperation, Working on Pact to Circumvent Western Sanctions4 July, 11:15 GMT,Anti-Russia Sanctions: India and EU Approaches,To illustrate his point, the professor cites India's approach to Russia's affairs and the Ukraine crisis. New Delhi continues to import energy from Russia despite the US and Europe urging India to join sweeping anti-Russia sanctions.,"What we have seen in the last two months is a gradual, significant increase in what India is buying from Russia when it comes to oil," the professor says. "This is particularly relevant again because Russia has offered India discounted oil and India's economic requirements demand that India continues buying this oil. The challenges facing India's population mean that the Indian leadership has an incentive in continuing to engage with Russia on this question.",At the same time, the European Union's decision to slap sanctions on Russia and slash energy supplies from the country have backfired on Europe's economy, sending fuel prices up and accelerating inflation.,"We have seen how Europe is struggling to reduce its dependence and the kind of costs that it is imposing on Europeans," says Pant. "Most Asian countries would be reluctant to go down that route.",Brussels: Anti-Russia Sanctions Raise Questions About Sustainability of EU's Financial Model 10 June, 08:44 GMT,The disruptions in the supply of crude after the imposition of ban on imports from Russia have given a dramatic boost to energy prices and inflation, echoes Suranjali Tandon, assistant professor at the Delhi-based National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.,"The current inflationary trends are the most serious challenge for policy makers," she says. "Central banks around the world have begun the process of unwinding loose monetary policy… The current inflation rates have led to internal economic strains and as seen in Sri Lanka, a political upheaval. The cooperation between Russia and Asian countries may be economically prudent.",Moreover, major Asian economies – India and China – are ready to absorb crude supplies from Russia rejected by the West, according to her.,At the same time, Washington's plan to force Asian states to join anti-Russia sanctions is fraught with severe risks for the global economy, Tandon warns.,"The ban, if carried out by other Asian economies, will further cut off supplies of refined petroleum and related products," she says. "This could lead to an unmanageable inflationary spiral while depressing global growth.",Lithium, Gold & Rare Earths: How China May Open the Door to New Business Opportunities for Afghans19 August 2021, 08:38 GMT,Are There Alternatives to Russia & China?,According to Tandon, India sets an important precedent for other Asian states by withstanding the US pressure when it comes to energy sanctions against Russia. By doing this, India is defending its internal interests in the first place, the professor underscores.,She hails the idea that single technology or fuel dependence should be avoided. This principle could be applied to Russia, China, or Western countries in a similar way. However, when the West is calling upon Asian nations to shift to wind, solar, and even nuclear power and abandon fossil fuels, it's clear that this shift cannot be done immediately, the professor emphasizes.,Even after the "green" transition, Asian states and the Global South are likely to maintain ties with Russia and China, who have been developing cutting-edge nuclear technologies and mining rare earths needed for producing electric batteries and electronic components.,"Russia's energy supplies will remain globally important," Tandon forecasts. "More importantly, even when this transition does take place the natural resources including minerals used as inputs in renewables will be concentrated in countries like China. China produces 63% of the world’s rare earth elements, including 45% of molybdenum as per IEA, so it's unclear what countries must do to expand alternatives while being under pressure to transition quickly."。

C | 这份亮眼成绩单,不仅是宏观经济数据的平稳攀升,更是首都发展模式深度转型、发展质效持续跃升的生动印证,彰显出首都经济强劲的内生韧性与长远发展潜力。  新质生产力的加速培育,是首都经济稳中有进的核心密码,更是北京立足科创优势、抢占未来赛道的战略落点。近年来,北京持续发挥科技创新核心引擎作用,深耕数字经济、未来产业两大核心赛道,产业创新势能持续积蓄。

D | 数字经济保持高位增长,成为拉动全市经济增长的核心支柱,为产业转型升级注入持久动力。算力基础设施持续扩容、人工智能大模型集群蓬勃发展,核心资源规模稳居全国首位,筑牢了数字经济发展的硬核底座。

E | 与此同时,商业航天、脑机接口等前沿未来产业加速落地突破,产业配套体系不断完善,关键技术攻关与市场化应用双向提速,逐步构建起前沿引领、多元赋能的现代化创新产业格局,让科创优势真正转化为发展胜势。  产业体系的优化升级、产研融合的深度深化,为首都高质量发展筑牢实体经济根基。北京持续推动先进制造业与现代服务业双向赋能、深度融合,打破产业边界、补齐发展短板,工业经济稳中提质,高端制造领域增长势头强劲。集成电路、智能机器人等高端硬核产品产量大幅攀升,折射出首都制造业向高端化、智能化转型的扎实成效。

F | 投资结构的持续优化更凸显发展底气,高技术制造业、科技服务业投资大幅增长,重大科创平台落地提速,产学研协同创新体系愈发完善。从重点实验室到前沿创新研究院,一系列高能级创新载体落地建设,持续打通科技创新成果转化链条,推动“北京制造”向“北京智造”全面跃升。  内需激活与对外开放双向发力,构筑起首都经济循环畅通的发展新格局。立足超大城市消费优势,北京精准出台消费以旧换新等惠民政策,有效盘活消费市场、释放内需潜力,拉动民生消费、产业消费双向增长。市场信心持续回暖,民间投资精准聚焦高精尖核心产业,成为产业升级的重要助力。对外开放能级持续跃升,外贸外资实现大幅增长,跨国企业区域总部加速集聚,充分彰显北京作为国际交往中心的吸引力与承载力。

G | 与此同时,京津冀协同发展纵深推进,“新两翼”联动发展取得标志性突破,区域资源整合、产业协同、功能互补效应持续释放,为首都经济发展拓展了广阔空间。  高质量发展的最终落脚点在于民生福祉与城市提质。上半年,北京坚持经济发展与民生改善、城市治理同步推进,实现发展成果全民共享。

H | 城镇就业规模稳步扩大,居民收入稳步增长,实现了经济增长与群众增收同频同步。公共服务供给持续提质扩容,推进普惠托育、城市更新等民生工程落地见效,持续补齐民生短板、提升人居品质。在城市治理领域,北京率先构建全国首个韧性城市建设标准体系,持续深化交通综合治理,有效提升城市安全韧性与宜居水平,让高质量发展既有速度、更有温度。  纵观半程发展态势,首都经济的突破不是简单的总量增长,而是一场深层次、全方位的结构性蜕变。智能化、绿色化、融合化的转型路径愈发清晰,创新驱动的高质量发展模式优势彰显。立足“十五五”开局关键节点,北京将持续深耕新质生产力培育,持续优化产业结构、畅通内外循环、夯实民生基底,持续巩固稳中向好的发展态势,以高质量发展的扎实成效,为首都长远发展蓄力赋能。

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